مدیریت استراتژیک هوشمند

مدیریت استراتژیک هوشمند

ارائه مدل کارآمدی شوراهای محلی در مدیریت پایدار روستایی هوشمند

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت ساخت، گروه مدیریت ساخت، موسسه اموزش عالی طبری، مازندران، ایران
2 گروه مدیریت، دانشگاه اشرفی اصفهانی، اصفهان. ایران
چکیده
قرارگیری بیش از 30 درصد جمعیت کشور در مناطق روستایی و مواجه با تأثیرات تغییرات اقلیمی، کاهش منابع و نابرابری‌های اجتماعی، ضرورت تقویت شوراهای محلی را نشان می‌دهد. توسعه پایدار صرفاً به منابع طبیعی یا اقتصادی وابسته نیست؛ بلکه به توانایی مدیریت مؤثر نیز متکی است. برای مواجهه با این چالش‌ها، بهره‌گیری از یک رویکرد جامع به توسعه یعنی توسعه دیجیتال در مدیریت نیاز است. پژوهش حاضر با هدف ارائه مدل نظری-الگوریتمی کارآمدی شوراهای محلی در مدیریت پایدار روستایی مبتنی بر هوش مصنوعی انجام شد. این پژوهش از نظر پارادایم تفسیر-انتقادی، از نظر رویکرد آمیخته، از نظر روش جمع‌آوری داده‌ها توصیفی-پیمایشی  بود. جامعه آماری بخش کیفی مقالات مرتبط بود که با روش مرور حیطه‌ای، 25 مقاله انتخاب شد. مضامین با تکنیک تحلیل مضمون شناسایی شد. جامعه آماری بخش کمی، دهیاران و اعضای شوراهای محلی استان مازندران بودند. به‌صورت هدفمند و در دسترس، 20 نفر از اعضای شوراها انتخاب شد. داده‌ها از طریق پرسشنامه محقق ساخته، داده‌های میدانی و داده‌های ثانویه از 20 روستای در دسترس جمع‌آوری شد. روایی محتوایی پرسشنامه با شاخص‌های مقادیر CVR و CVI، و روایی سازه از طریق تحلیل عاملی تاییدی و اکتشافی، پایایی با آزمون آلفای کرونباخ تایید شد. با استفاده از الگوریتم‌های هوش مصنوعی (شبکه عصبی، تحلیل چندمعیاره، رگرسیون فازی)، با تمرکز بر 3 محور بخش مدیریت پایدار (کشاورزی هوشمند، مدیریت منابع آب، انرژی‌های تجدید پذیر) مدل‌سازی کمی و پیش‌بینی الگوهای مدیریت پایدار روستایی در  این 3 محور انجام شد. اعتبار مدل کمی با شاخص‌های آماری تایید شد. مدل نظری شامل 4 مضمون سازمان دهنده، 10 مضمون پایه و 28 کد بود. مدل نظری نشان داد کارآمدی شوراها با تقویت  4 عملکرد تصمیم‌گیری، پیش‌بینی، تقویت مشارکت، نظارت و ارزیابی ارتقا می‌یابد. این 4 عملکرد می‌تواند با بهره‌گیری از فرصت‌هایی که هوش مصنوعی ایجاد می‌کند، تقویت شود. مدل الگوریتمی نشان داد که از نظر دهیاران و شوراها،  مدیریت منابع آب نسبت به کشاورزی هوشمند و انرژی تجدید پذیر اولویت دارد. نتایج این پژوهش نشان داد که هوش مصنوعی می‌تواند کارآمدی شوراهای محلی را در مدیریت پایدار به‌طور معناداری افزایش دهد. این نتایج ضمن همسویی با نتایج پژوهش‌های پیشین، با ترکیب دو مدل نظری و الگوریتمی، مدلی بومی ارائه داد. این مدل پیوند بین مفاهیم مدیریتی و فناورانه را ایجاد کرد که این ادغام سبب ارائه مدل یکپارچه شد که نسبت به روش مدیریت سنتی که دهیاران و شوراها قبلا داشته‌اند می‌تواند دقت و جامعیت بیشتری به تصمیمات و عملکرد آن‌ها برای ارائه خدمات روستایی و به‌ویژه مدیریت منابع آب بدهد.
کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

Presenting an efficiency model for local councils in sustainable smart rural management

نویسندگان English

Hossein Zabihi Kaliji 1
Parvin Afshar 2
1 MSc in Construction Management, Department of Construction Management, Tabari Institute of Higher Education, Mazandaran, Iran
2 Department of Management, Shahid Ashrafi Esfahani University, Isfahan, Iran
چکیده English

With more than 30 percent of the country's population residing in rural areas and experiencing the consequences of climate change, resource depletion, and social inequalities, strengthening the role of local councils has become essential. Sustainable development is not determined solely by natural or economic resources; it also depends on effective management capabilities. solving these challenges requires a comprehensive approach to development-particularly digital transformation in management. This study aimed to present a theoretical-algorithmic model of the effectiveness of local councils in sustainable rural management based on artificial intelligence. The research is interpretive-critical paradigm, developmental-applied, descriptive-survey, and mixed. The statistical population in qualitative section was articles were 25 selected using the scoping review method. The data collection tool was checklists of selected codes according to the three basic models. Themes were identified using thematic analysis technique. The validity and reliability of the codes were confirmed. The statistical population in quantitative section was village heads and local councils members of Mazandaran province. 20 council members were selected purposefully and conveniently. Data were collected through researcher-made questionnaire, field data, and secondary data from 20 available villages. The content validity of the questionnaire was confirmed with CVR and CVI value indices, and the construct validity was confirmed through confirmatory and exploratory factor analysis, and reliability was confirmed with Cronbach's alpha test. Using artificial intelligence algorithms (neural network, multi-criteria analysis, fuzzy regression), focusing on the three axes of sustainable management (smart agriculture, water resources management, renewable energies), quantitative modeling and prediction of sustainable rural management patterns in these three axes were performed. The quantitative model validity was confirmed. The theoretical model included 4 organizing themes, 10 basic themes, and 28 codes. The theoretical model showed that the efficiency of councils is improved by strengthening the 4 functions of decision-making, forecasting, strengthening participation, monitoring, and evaluation. These 4 functions can be strengthened by taking advantage of the opportunities created by artificial intelligence. The algorithmic model showed that, from the perspective of villagers and councils, water resources management is a priority over smart agriculture and renewable energy. The results of this study showed that artificial intelligence can significantly increase the efficiency of local councils in sustainable management. These results, while being in line with the results of previous research, provided a native model by combining two theoretical and algorithmic models. This model created a link between management and technological concepts, which led to the presentation of an integrated model that, compared to the traditional management method that village heads and councils previously had, can provide more accuracy and comprehensiveness to their decisions and performance for providing rural services, especially water resources management.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

sustainable development
rural development
efficiency of local councils
sustainable management
smart sustainable management
smart rural management
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